Villena vs Thader analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.5%
Win probability
1.98
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
23.8%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.1%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+125%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
RED
3 - 1
VIL
80%
13%
7%
|
15 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
SFF
1 - 0
VIL
64%
19%
17%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
VIL
5 - 1
HON
68%
18%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
HER
26%
23%
51%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ELD
3 - 1
VIL
66%
20%
15%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Thader
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
THD
0 - 1
VIJ
39%
24%
37%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
CAL
2 - 3
THD
70%
17%
13%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
THD
4 - 3
ALB
29%
23%
48%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIJ
3 - 1
THD
67%
19%
14%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
THD
1 - 2
NUC
23%
22%
55%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | -1 |