Villena vs At. Calatayud analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.7%
Win probability
2.94
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.3%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
5.1%
4-0
4.9%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
9.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
5.9%
5-2
2.1%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
3.6%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
19.5%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.5%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
14.6%
12.7%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+49%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 May. 1951 |
VIL
3 - 0
CNC
62%
19%
20%
|
38 | 42 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
CAS
5 - 2
VIL
71%
16%
13%
|
39 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
VIL
12 - 0
CIE
85%
9%
6%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | +1 |
| 08 Apr. 1951 |
ATB
11 - 1
VIL
81%
11%
8%
|
40 | 47 | 7 | -2 |
| 01 Apr. 1951 |
VIL
3 - 1
ALI
56%
20%
24%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
At. Calatayud
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 1951 |
ATC
3 - 0
NAV
66%
17%
17%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 May. 1951 |
IGU
8 - 0
ATC
64%
18%
18%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -2 |
| 29 Apr. 1951 |
ATC
3 - 1
TOR
54%
21%
25%
|
36 | 45 | 9 | +2 |
| 22 Apr. 1951 |
MAN
4 - 0
ATC
64%
18%
19%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 1951 |
ATC
2 - 2
ECG
68%
16%
16%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | 0 |