Villena B vs Sax analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.4%
2-0
1.1%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.9%
1-0
3%
2-1
2.7%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.6%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.5%
75.4%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
12.3%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.8%
0-3
10.2%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.7%
0-4
6.3%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
9%
0-5
3.1%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.2%
0-6
1.3%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-93%
+26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villena B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2018 |
MOI
5 - 1
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
9 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2018 |
AYO
3 - 2
VIL
43%
23%
34%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2018 |
VIL
2 - 5
REA
13%
19%
68%
|
10 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
FON
4 - 0
VIL
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 16 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 4
PET
18%
21%
61%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sax
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2018 |
UDF
3 - 0
AYO
84%
10%
5%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2018 |
REA
1 - 1
UDF
53%
21%
25%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
UDF
3 - 0
FON
47%
21%
33%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
PET
2 - 0
UDF
51%
22%
27%
|
17 | 18 | 1 | -1 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
UDF
1 - 1
PEN
62%
19%
19%
|
17 | 15 | 2 | 0 |