Villegas vs Sporting Cascajos analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.8%
Win probability
3.19
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.3%
7-1
1%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.6%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
2.2%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
+5
7.1%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
4.2%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
8.7%
4-1
6.5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.5%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.8%
11.5%
Draw
0-0
1.6%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.5%
7.6%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
2.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
5.3%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
PRM
2 - 2
VIL
22%
20%
58%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2025 |
VIL
4 - 0
ALB
56%
20%
25%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
RAP
0 - 0
VIL
41%
23%
36%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2025 |
VIL
4 - 1
CEN
59%
20%
21%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ALD
1 - 1
VIL
23%
20%
57%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sporting Cascajos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2025 |
SPO
1 - 3
ALB
22%
19%
59%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
RAP
1 - 1
SPO
74%
15%
11%
|
14 | 23 | 9 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
SPO
2 - 2
CEN
25%
21%
54%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
ALD
0 - 2
SPO
77%
13%
10%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | +2 |
| 15 Mar. 2025 |
SPO
0 - 3
CAL
29%
23%
48%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | 0 |