Villegas vs SD Logroñés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.7%
Win probability
0.48
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.5%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.8%
1-0
2.1%
2-1
1.4%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.8%
12%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
12%
83.3%
Win probability
2.65
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.7%
0-2
15.3%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23%
0-3
13.5%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
18.4%
0-4
8.9%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11.5%
0-5
4.7%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5.8%
0-6
2.1%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.5%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.9%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 May. 2016 |
BAL
0 - 0
VIL
39%
25%
36%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
CDF
47%
24%
29%
|
15 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 01 May. 2016 |
ALF
1 - 1
VIL
82%
13%
5%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 1
VIL
56%
24%
21%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
VIA
29%
26%
45%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
SD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jun. 2016 |
SDL
1 - 3
CDP
64%
21%
15%
|
45 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2016 |
CDP
0 - 1
SDL
26%
24%
50%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
SDL
1 - 1
CON
66%
20%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
CON
1 - 2
SDL
20%
24%
56%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
TED
2 - 2
SDL
5%
12%
83%
|
45 | 15 | 30 | -1 |