Villegas vs SD Logroñés analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
4.2%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.4%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.7%
1-0
2%
2-1
1.2%
3-2
0.2%
4-3
<0%
+1
3.4%
11.6%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
1.6%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
11.6%
84.2%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
15.7%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
23.1%
0-3
14%
1-4
4.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
18.7%
0-4
9.3%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
11.8%
0-5
5%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
6.1%
0-6
2.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.6%
0-7
0.8%
1-8
0.1%
-7
1%
0-8
0.3%
1-9
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ALB
2 - 0
VIL
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
CLH
6%
16%
78%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
NAX
4 - 1
VIL
89%
9%
3%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAL
31%
27%
42%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
AGO
1 - 1
VIL
82%
13%
6%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SD Logroñés
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
SDL
3 - 0
VIA
90%
8%
2%
|
46 | 16 | 30 | 0 |
| 06 Mar. 2016 |
RIV
1 - 2
SDL
5%
13%
82%
|
47 | 18 | 29 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2016 |
SDL
3 - 0
OYO
88%
9%
3%
|
47 | 19 | 28 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2016 |
SMC
0 - 2
SDL
6%
13%
81%
|
46 | 19 | 27 | +1 |
| 14 Feb. 2016 |
ARN
1 - 3
SDL
4%
12%
84%
|
46 | 17 | 29 | 0 |