Villegas vs Real Bethlehem analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.9%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.3%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
12.5%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
4.1%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+68%
-96%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
3 - 1
BAÑ
29%
23%
49%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BAL
3 - 2
VIL
81%
13%
7%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
VIL
2 - 3
ALD
22%
21%
58%
|
13 | 17 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
SDS
2 - 5
VIL
23%
21%
57%
|
12 | 7 | 5 | +1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
VIL
2 - 2
NAX
27%
22%
51%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Real Bethlehem
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
RBF
0 - 0
NAX
59%
19%
22%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
BAÑ
1 - 2
RBF
62%
19%
19%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
RBF
3 - 1
PRA
17%
19%
64%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2021 |
BAL
6 - 0
RBF
81%
12%
7%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Dec. 2021 |
RBF
1 - 4
CAL
43%
23%
34%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |