Villegas vs Rapid de Murillo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.5%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
31.5%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.4%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
CDL
60%
20%
20%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2011 |
HAR
2 - 2
VIL
37%
24%
40%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
AGO
10%
18%
72%
|
11 | 24 | 13 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
CEN
2 - 2
VIL
43%
25%
32%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
0 - 4
OYO
10%
19%
71%
|
12 | 37 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Rapid de Murillo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2011 |
RAP
2 - 0
HAR
69%
18%
13%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
CDC
1 - 2
RAP
80%
14%
7%
|
14 | 27 | 13 | +2 |
| 30 May. 2010 |
RAP
1 - 3
TED
26%
23%
51%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2010 |
CAL
0 - 1
RAP
49%
24%
27%
|
13 | 14 | 1 | +1 |
| 16 May. 2010 |
RAP
1 - 3
SDL
11%
18%
71%
|
14 | 47 | 33 | -1 |