Villegas vs Pradejón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
86.5%
Win probability
3.14
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.6%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.7%
7-0
1.4%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.8%
6-0
3.2%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
4.1%
5-0
6.1%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
8.3%
4-0
9.8%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.9%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.3%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17%
9.4%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-2
2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
9.3%
4.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.4%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.2%
0-2
0.4%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
+33%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 May. 2012 |
CDC
1 - 3
VIL
15%
20%
65%
|
26 | 13 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
VIL
5 - 0
CAS
65%
18%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 May. 2012 |
CAV
0 - 2
VIL
14%
19%
68%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 2
CEN
79%
14%
8%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
CDF
1 - 2
VIL
48%
23%
30%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Pradejón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
CLH
2 - 0
PRA
79%
15%
7%
|
15 | 26 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
PRA
0 - 3
SDL
7%
17%
76%
|
16 | 48 | 32 | -1 |
| 01 May. 2012 |
UDL
2 - 0
PRA
77%
16%
7%
|
16 | 36 | 20 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
PRA
4 - 2
BER
27%
26%
48%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
ANG
1 - 1
PRA
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 34 | 20 | +1 |