Villegas vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.7%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.8%
26.5%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.5%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
PRA
0 - 2
VIL
45%
24%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 0
ARN
35%
25%
40%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
CIU
1 - 0
VIL
38%
24%
38%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
VIL
1 - 3
BER
82%
12%
6%
|
19 | 12 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
VIA
0 - 0
VIL
78%
14%
8%
|
19 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
CDF
1 - 0
CAL
56%
24%
20%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2014 |
RIV
4 - 0
CDF
55%
22%
23%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2014 |
CDF
2 - 0
ALB
74%
15%
11%
|
20 | 12 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
CDF
2 - 0
PRA
62%
20%
18%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
ARN
2 - 2
CDF
50%
24%
26%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |