Villegas vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.4%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
37.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+45%
-31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
SMC
2 - 0
VIL
54%
23%
23%
|
13 | 15 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 6
VAR
11%
18%
71%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
HAR
3 - 0
VIL
86%
10%
4%
|
14 | 40 | 26 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
AGO
30%
25%
45%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
ARN
3 - 1
VIL
74%
17%
9%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
CDF
0 - 0
RIV
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
YAG
3 - 0
CDF
24%
23%
53%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
CDF
0 - 1
CLH
21%
22%
57%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
PRA
1 - 2
CDF
33%
24%
43%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
CDF
2 - 3
ANG
28%
24%
47%
|
18 | 26 | 8 | -1 |