Villegas vs La Calzada analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.6%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
6%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.1%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
42.3%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
12.7%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.1%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
-37%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ANG
2 - 2
VIL
59%
20%
21%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
AUT
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
NAX
1 - 3
VIL
35%
24%
41%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
VIL
1 - 1
YAG
31%
23%
46%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
OYO
1 - 0
VIL
33%
24%
43%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
La Calzada
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Nov. 2011 |
CDF
3 - 2
HAR
79%
14%
7%
|
26 | 15 | 11 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2011 |
CDC
1 - 6
CDF
38%
24%
38%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2011 |
CDF
4 - 1
CAS
62%
20%
18%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2011 |
CAV
1 - 3
CDF
16%
21%
64%
|
25 | 13 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
CDF
1 - 0
CEN
65%
20%
15%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | +1 |