Villegas vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
46.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.2%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+25%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Mar. 2018 |
PRA
4 - 3
VIL
84%
12%
5%
|
11 | 22 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 4
BER
12%
17%
71%
|
12 | 20 | 8 | -1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
ALF
5 - 0
VIL
86%
10%
3%
|
12 | 30 | 18 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAS
60%
20%
20%
|
12 | 10 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
OYO
1 - 1
VIL
44%
24%
32%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
CAL
4 - 1
YAG
11%
16%
73%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2018 |
RIV
1 - 1
CAL
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
1 - 1
HAR
4%
12%
84%
|
10 | 42 | 32 | +3 |
| 11 Feb. 2018 |
SDL
2 - 0
CAL
92%
7%
2%
|
11 | 45 | 34 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 1
VAR
4%
11%
85%
|
11 | 35 | 24 | 0 |