Villegas vs Calasancio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20.9%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
5.4%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.4%
22.8%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.8%
56.3%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
17.3%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
CEN
2 - 2
VIL
51%
23%
26%
|
14 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
VAR
3 - 2
VIL
78%
15%
6%
|
14 | 37 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2008 |
VIL
2 - 2
ADF
39%
24%
37%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
RIV
4 - 1
VIL
77%
16%
7%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
VIL
1 - 4
CLH
14%
24%
62%
|
15 | 33 | 18 | -1 |
Matches
Calasancio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jan. 2009 |
CAL
0 - 0
HAR
15%
21%
64%
|
23 | 41 | 18 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2009 |
CAL
1 - 0
AFC
52%
24%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 2008 |
TED
0 - 0
CAL
21%
23%
56%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2008 |
CAL
3 - 0
LOG
11%
20%
70%
|
14 | 46 | 32 | +9 |
| 08 Dec. 2008 |
ARN
4 - 2
CAL
61%
21%
18%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | -1 |