Villegas vs Alberite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79%
Win probability
2.8
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.7%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.8%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.1%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.4%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.2%
7.8%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.7%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+40%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ALD
1 - 1
VIL
23%
23%
54%
|
24 | 18 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 2
TAT
67%
18%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2012 |
RAP
0 - 3
VIL
30%
24%
46%
|
23 | 19 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CDL
0 - 4
VIL
19%
21%
60%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
4 - 2
HAR
68%
18%
15%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Alberite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ALB
0 - 0
HAR
37%
24%
39%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
CDC
1 - 3
ALB
65%
18%
17%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
ALB
1 - 3
CAS
30%
24%
46%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | -2 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
CAV
2 - 3
ALB
27%
23%
50%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Jan. 2012 |
ALB
2 - 0
CEN
27%
25%
48%
|
13 | 18 | 5 | +2 |