Villegas vs Alberite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.6%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+57%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
AGO
1 - 2
VIL
83%
12%
5%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
CEN
30%
24%
47%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2009 |
OYO
3 - 0
VIL
82%
13%
5%
|
11 | 34 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 2
ARN
18%
23%
60%
|
11 | 20 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2009 |
CLH
5 - 0
VIL
88%
9%
3%
|
11 | 36 | 25 | 0 |
Matches
Alberite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jan. 2010 |
ALB
1 - 5
SMC
8%
19%
73%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2009 |
ALF
6 - 1
ALB
88%
9%
3%
|
9 | 42 | 33 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 4
AGO
7%
16%
78%
|
9 | 21 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
CEN
4 - 1
ALB
65%
20%
15%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2009 |
ALB
0 - 2
PRA
8%
17%
74%
|
10 | 22 | 12 | 0 |