Villegas vs Alberite analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.6%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25.1%
32.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.3%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+48%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
OYO
2 - 2
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 4
NAX
17%
25%
58%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 1
HAR
11%
19%
70%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | -1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
AFC
0 - 0
VIL
53%
23%
24%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 0
TED
67%
18%
14%
|
16 | 12 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Alberite
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ALB
0 - 5
HAR
9%
19%
72%
|
18 | 42 | 24 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
AFC
2 - 1
ALB
43%
25%
33%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 0
TED
71%
18%
11%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
ALB
2 - 1
ARN
38%
27%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2009 |
BER
3 - 2
ALB
37%
27%
37%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | -1 |