Villegas vs ADF Logroñes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.3%
Win probability
0.77
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.6%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
4.3%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.8%
19%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19%
68.7%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
12.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
20.9%
0-3
8.9%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
13.1%
0-4
4.7%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.5%
0-5
2%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.6%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villegas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ANG
3 - 1
VIL
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 2
SMC
31%
25%
45%
|
14 | 20 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
OYO
5 - 0
VIL
76%
16%
8%
|
15 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
VIL
2 - 1
YAG
37%
24%
39%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
RAP
2 - 1
VIL
69%
18%
13%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
ADF Logroñes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2007 |
ADF
5 - 0
CEN
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 11 | 28 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2007 |
CIU
1 - 6
ADF
18%
21%
61%
|
39 | 18 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2007 |
ADF
1 - 0
ALB
84%
11%
5%
|
39 | 12 | 27 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2007 |
RIV
0 - 0
ADF
19%
22%
60%
|
39 | 21 | 18 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
ADF
4 - 0
CLH
44%
24%
32%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | +2 |