Villaseco vs Santa Croya analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.8%
2-0
1.9%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
11.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
18.1%
63.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
3.1%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.5%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
12.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.6%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
6.7%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0.1%
-6
1.2%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villaseco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
SPO
2 - 0
VIL
63%
18%
19%
|
10 | 12 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 2
ATL
54%
21%
25%
|
9 | 8 | 1 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
RCB
4 - 0
VIL
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | -2 |
| 09 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 8
COR
17%
19%
64%
|
11 | 18 | 7 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 0
VIL
63%
18%
19%
|
12 | 14 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Santa Croya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
3 - 2
LOR
79%
12%
9%
|
13 | 9 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
GCE
2 - 1
SAN
63%
18%
19%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
SAN
0 - 4
BOV
53%
20%
27%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 08 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
SAN
64%
17%
19%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
SPO
4 - 1
SAN
15%
17%
68%
|
16 | 10 | 6 | -2 |