Villarreal vs Alaquas I Walter A analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.6%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.6%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
<0%
+5
4.1%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
13%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.8%
2-0
16.8%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.5%
1-0
14.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
14.8%
5.6%
Win probability
0.45
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.6%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
NUL
0 - 0
VIL
46%
27%
27%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
VIL
2 - 2
LEV
32%
28%
40%
|
34 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
VAL
1 - 1
VIL
56%
24%
20%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
VIL
3 - 1
VIN
80%
15%
6%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
MON
0 - 0
VIL
22%
28%
51%
|
34 | 20 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Alaquas I Walter A
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1986 |
ALA
3 - 1
CAS
52%
25%
23%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1986 |
BEN
0 - 2
ALA
73%
17%
10%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 23 Nov. 1986 |
ALA
0 - 3
BEN
26%
29%
45%
|
18 | 29 | 11 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1986 |
NOV
6 - 2
ALA
60%
24%
16%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Nov. 1986 |
ALA
0 - 1
OLI
22%
28%
50%
|
20 | 35 | 15 | -1 |