Villarreal vs Real Sporting analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
69.2%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
6.1%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
14%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
19.6%
11.2%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
RAC
1 - 1
VIL
35%
27%
38%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 1
NUM
70%
19%
11%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
DEP
3 - 0
VIL
33%
27%
40%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
OSA
65%
22%
13%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 0
MLL
56%
24%
21%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Real Sporting
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2009 |
SPO
0 - 4
RMA
19%
24%
58%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2009 |
FCB
3 - 1
SPO
84%
12%
5%
|
81 | 95 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 0
SEV
21%
25%
54%
|
81 | 92 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2009 |
SPO
1 - 2
ATH
36%
26%
38%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 2009 |
GET
5 - 1
SPO
62%
23%
16%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |