Europa League . Last 16
Global 3-5
Villarreal vs Olympique Marseille analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.1%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
20.3%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
5.1%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
BET
2 - 3
VIL
37%
25%
38%
|
90 | 90 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 0
VIL
30%
24%
46%
|
91 | 88 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2024 |
VIL
5 - 1
GRA
72%
17%
11%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2024 |
RSO
1 - 3
VIL
44%
26%
30%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2024 |
VIL
1 - 1
GET
62%
21%
18%
|
90 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Olympique Marseille
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
2 - 0
NAN
73%
17%
9%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 0
VIL
30%
24%
46%
|
88 | 91 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Mar. 2024 |
CLE
1 - 5
MAR
21%
26%
54%
|
88 | 75 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
4 - 1
MPL
63%
21%
17%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2024 |
MAR
3 - 1
SHA
51%
23%
27%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |