Villarreal vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.3%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.8%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
3.9%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
MIR
1 - 5
VIL
18%
28%
55%
|
84 | 67 | 17 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
REC
70%
19%
11%
|
84 | 69 | 15 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
HUE
0 - 1
VIL
18%
28%
55%
|
84 | 66 | 18 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 1
SPO
57%
23%
19%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
CCF
0 - 2
VIL
30%
27%
43%
|
84 | 75 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
NUM
2 - 1
GIR
40%
26%
34%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2013 |
ALC
1 - 1
NUM
54%
25%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
NUM
3 - 1
ELC
35%
29%
36%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
LUG
0 - 0
NUM
32%
26%
42%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
NUM
2 - 0
RAC
38%
28%
35%
|
70 | 75 | 5 | +1 |