Villarreal vs Aspense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
21.5%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.2%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
ALG
2 - 3
VIL
43%
28%
29%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
VIL
3 - 0
UDP
78%
15%
7%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | +1 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
BUR
1 - 2
VIL
64%
22%
14%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
VIL
2 - 1
NOV
57%
24%
19%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
ONT
2 - 0
VIL
70%
19%
11%
|
29 | 34 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aspense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Mar. 1983 |
ASP
3 - 2
VAL
49%
26%
25%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1983 |
BEN
0 - 0
ASP
47%
26%
27%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 1983 |
ASP
2 - 0
GAN
49%
28%
24%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +3 |
| 27 Feb. 1983 |
UDC
1 - 0
ASP
47%
26%
26%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | -1 |
| 20 Feb. 1983 |
ASP
0 - 1
BEN
56%
25%
19%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |