Villarreal vs Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.4%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
26%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
31.6%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
MLL
4 - 0
VIL
42%
26%
32%
|
86 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 1
GRA
71%
18%
11%
|
86 | 76 | 10 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
SEV
1 - 2
VIL
64%
20%
16%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
FCB
8%
18%
74%
|
86 | 97 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
3 - 0
SPO
62%
22%
17%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2012 |
ATH
1 - 0
LOK
62%
21%
17%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2012 |
ATH
3 - 0
MAL
64%
20%
16%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2012 |
LOK
2 - 1
ATH
42%
27%
32%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2012 |
BET
2 - 1
ATH
37%
26%
37%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2012 |
ATH
6 - 2
MIR
81%
14%
6%
|
88 | 71 | 17 | 0 |