Copa del Rey Juvenil Quarter-finals
Global 5-1
Villarreal U19 vs Real Sporting U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64%
Win probability
2.26
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.6%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.2%
2-0
9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
16.9%
Win probability
1.08
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.8%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.3%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 1
VIL
38%
23%
39%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2016 |
MAL
1 - 3
VIL
47%
23%
30%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 0
MAL
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 May. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
LPM
29%
23%
49%
|
28 | 36 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2016 |
VIL
8 - 2
ADM
81%
11%
7%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Real Sporting U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 May. 2016 |
SPO
0 - 1
VIL
38%
23%
39%
|
26 | 30 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2016 |
ANT
1 - 3
SPO
31%
25%
44%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SPO
1 - 0
ANT
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
SPO
4 - 0
DEP
65%
19%
16%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
1 - 3
SPO
16%
20%
64%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | +1 |