Segunda B Play-Offs Final
Global 2-1
Villarreal B vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.7%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.4%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
LOR
2 - 3
VIL
45%
25%
30%
|
59 | 59 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 0
LOR
42%
25%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | +1 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 0
ZAM
51%
24%
25%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | +1 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
ZAM
0 - 2
VIL
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
UES
3 - 2
VIL
39%
27%
34%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jun. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
PON
34%
29%
37%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
PON
2 - 1
RJA
46%
26%
29%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
RJA
5 - 0
LEG
46%
28%
26%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
LEG
2 - 2
RJA
33%
27%
40%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2009 |
RJA
1 - 0
POL
23%
29%
49%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | +1 |