Villarreal C vs Pego analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.4%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.7%
18.2%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
CAS
2 - 1
VIL
29%
25%
46%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
VIL
1 - 0
OND
56%
23%
21%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
CRE
2 - 0
VIL
29%
25%
46%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | -2 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
TOR
2 - 2
VIL
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
VIL
5 - 1
ALC
67%
20%
14%
|
41 | 29 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Pego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Nov. 2007 |
PEG
3 - 2
TOR
26%
27%
47%
|
29 | 42 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2007 |
ALC
4 - 1
PEG
39%
25%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Nov. 2007 |
PEG
3 - 2
BUR
40%
29%
32%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2007 |
JUV
2 - 0
PEG
46%
25%
29%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | -1 |
| 21 Oct. 2007 |
PEG
0 - 1
UTI
37%
27%
36%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -2 |