Villarreal C vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59.3%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
6.2%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.5%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
21%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21%
19.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
12.4%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.2%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 2
RAY
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
OLI
0 - 0
VIL
59%
24%
17%
|
40 | 49 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
2 - 2
ORI
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
VIL
4 - 0
SEG
90%
7%
3%
|
40 | 23 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2016 |
ALM
0 - 3
VIL
12%
20%
69%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
NOV
1 - 0
ALM
79%
15%
6%
|
40 | 19 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
BOR
3 - 1
NOV
17%
24%
59%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | -2 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
NOV
0 - 1
PAT
72%
18%
10%
|
43 | 26 | 17 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2016 |
CRE
0 - 2
NOV
22%
26%
52%
|
42 | 33 | 9 | +1 |
| 23 Oct. 2016 |
NOV
2 - 1
REC
66%
20%
14%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | 0 |