Villarreal C vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.2%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.9%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
JOV
3 - 0
VIL
59%
21%
20%
|
31 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 1
PAT
75%
15%
10%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
UTI
1 - 2
VIL
40%
25%
35%
|
31 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2013 |
VIL
0 - 0
TOR
69%
17%
14%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Nov. 2013 |
NUC
0 - 3
VIL
55%
24%
21%
|
29 | 37 | 8 | +2 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Dec. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
ORI
42%
28%
30%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
MUR
0 - 0
NOV
49%
24%
27%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2013 |
ALM
0 - 1
NOV
65%
21%
15%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | +1 |
| 01 Dec. 2013 |
NOV
1 - 0
LLO
54%
25%
21%
|
39 | 33 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 0
ALM
22%
26%
52%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |