Villarreal C vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
31.8%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CRE
1 - 2
VIL
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 2
ACE
50%
23%
27%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
BUR
3 - 0
VIL
39%
24%
38%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
RIB
72%
17%
11%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2013 |
LLO
2 - 3
VIL
26%
24%
50%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
SAG
63%
22%
15%
|
41 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2013 |
DEN
1 - 2
NOV
31%
25%
44%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
2 - 1
JOV
51%
25%
23%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
TOR
1 - 3
NOV
31%
26%
44%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +1 |
| 20 Jan. 2013 |
MUR
1 - 2
NOV
39%
25%
36%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |