Villarreal C vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.4%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
24.4%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NUC
2 - 1
VIL
53%
24%
23%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
VIL
5 - 1
LEV
73%
17%
10%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
TOR
2 - 4
VIL
32%
27%
41%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
VIL
3 - 2
TLL
67%
19%
15%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
BOR
0 - 2
VIL
56%
23%
21%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
NOV
1 - 0
PUÇ
76%
16%
8%
|
38 | 23 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2011 |
OLI
1 - 2
NOV
56%
24%
21%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
4 - 1
VIJ
69%
19%
12%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2011 |
JOV
3 - 3
NOV
28%
28%
45%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2011 |
NOV
0 - 1
CRE
53%
24%
23%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | -1 |