Villarreal C vs Novelda CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.3%
2-0
12.8%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.1%
13%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
+67%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
CRE
1 - 2
VIL
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
VIL
2 - 0
TOR
40%
26%
34%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
OLI
0 - 0
VIL
50%
24%
26%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALZ
33%
27%
40%
|
35 | 46 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
BUR
3 - 2
VIL
48%
25%
28%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Dec. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 1
RIB
42%
27%
31%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2009 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOV
64%
22%
14%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 0
PUÇ
44%
26%
30%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 Nov. 2009 |
GAN
1 - 2
NOV
63%
24%
13%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2009 |
NOV
1 - 0
ELC
68%
19%
13%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | 0 |