Villarreal C vs Muro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
83.9%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.6%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.5%
5-0
5.2%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.3%
4-0
8.7%
5-1
3.5%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.8%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.6%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
10.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
2.6%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.8%
5.3%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+111%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
BUÑ
1 - 3
VIL
17%
23%
61%
|
39 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAS
55%
23%
22%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
ONT
2 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
29%
|
41 | 42 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 0
NOV
59%
21%
20%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
VIL
3 - 2
RAY
80%
13%
7%
|
40 | 31 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Muro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
ALM
72%
18%
10%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2016 |
BOR
1 - 0
MUR
50%
24%
26%
|
26 | 29 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MUR
0 - 1
PAT
43%
25%
32%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
CRE
1 - 0
MUR
46%
26%
28%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MUR
1 - 0
REC
38%
25%
37%
|
27 | 30 | 3 | +1 |