Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 1-1
Villarreal C vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
9%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.9%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 0
ALI
84%
12%
4%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
NOV
2 - 0
VIL
35%
26%
39%
|
44 | 39 | 5 | -2 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 1
CRE
66%
20%
15%
|
44 | 36 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
TOR
0 - 1
VIL
29%
26%
45%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2010 |
VIL
2 - 2
OLI
64%
20%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2010 |
MON
1 - 5
JER
20%
25%
56%
|
41 | 18 | 23 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2010 |
JER
7 - 0
VIL
72%
19%
9%
|
41 | 21 | 20 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2010 |
COR
0 - 1
JER
20%
25%
55%
|
41 | 20 | 21 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2010 |
JER
3 - 2
CPL
51%
26%
24%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MER
0 - 0
JER
58%
24%
18%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | +1 |