Villarreal C vs CD Castellón analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.1%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.9%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
16.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.7%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+21%
+19%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 May. 2014 |
NOV
1 - 0
VIL
45%
26%
30%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
VIL
2 - 2
JOV
79%
14%
8%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
PAT
2 - 0
VIL
38%
25%
37%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
VIL
7 - 1
UTI
72%
16%
11%
|
39 | 31 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 1
VIL
24%
24%
51%
|
39 | 29 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
CD Castellón
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
CAS
0 - 0
TOR
60%
23%
17%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 4
CAS
50%
26%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2014 |
CAS
1 - 1
SAG
51%
26%
23%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2014 |
BOR
1 - 1
CAS
37%
27%
36%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2014 |
CAS
2 - 0
ELD
33%
27%
40%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | +3 |