Villarreal C vs At. Saguntino analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.9%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.1%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
10.9%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-63%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarreal C
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Mar. 2013 |
DEN
2 - 0
VIL
36%
26%
39%
|
38 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
VIL
3 - 1
JOV
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
TOR
0 - 0
VIL
32%
25%
43%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2013 |
VIL
1 - 1
NOV
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
CRE
1 - 2
VIL
29%
25%
46%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
At. Saguntino
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Mar. 2013 |
MUR
3 - 1
SAG
61%
22%
18%
|
30 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
SAG
0 - 2
DEN
38%
28%
34%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 03 Mar. 2013 |
JOV
1 - 0
SAG
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2013 |
SAG
1 - 1
TOR
46%
27%
28%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2013 |
NOV
0 - 1
SAG
63%
22%
15%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | +2 |