Villarcayo Nela vs Turégano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.5%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.5%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
50.1%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.8%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.2%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
UXA
1 - 2
VIL
37%
25%
38%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
2 - 0
NUM
45%
25%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UPP
2 - 1
VIL
42%
24%
34%
|
20 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
VIL
1 - 1
VIL
46%
24%
30%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
CEB
2 - 3
VIL
60%
21%
19%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Turégano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
TUR
3 - 1
BEL
60%
20%
20%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2023 |
LER
1 - 3
TUR
21%
21%
57%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2023 |
UXA
0 - 0
TUR
22%
21%
57%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2023 |
TUR
2 - 0
NUM
60%
21%
19%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 2023 |
UPP
2 - 0
TUR
15%
18%
67%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | -2 |