Villarcayo Nela vs Quintanar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.8%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
7.1%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.5%
3-0
10.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.6%
13.5%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
3.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.5%
7.7%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.6%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.6%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villarcayo Nela
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
CER
0 - 2
VIL
28%
23%
49%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
BEL
2 - 0
VIL
56%
21%
23%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
ALF
0 - 5
VIL
22%
22%
56%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Quintanar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
QUI
1 - 1
MON
46%
23%
31%
|
7 | 8 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2014 |
FRI
2 - 1
QUI
42%
23%
35%
|
9 | 7 | 2 | -2 |
| 27 Sep. 2014 |
QUI
0 - 1
UNI
23%
22%
55%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | 0 |