Villanueva CF vs Real Jaén analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
14.4%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
2.1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
+2
3%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
3.5%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
10.6%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
9.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
23.7%
62%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
16.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
-1
27%
0-2
13.6%
1-3
5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19.3%
0-3
7.6%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
9.9%
0-4
3.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
4%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villanueva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
MIJ
3 - 1
VIL
67%
20%
13%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
VIL
1 - 0
MAL
42%
28%
30%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
AMA
3 - 0
VIL
89%
8%
2%
|
20 | 39 | 19 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
VIL
0 - 1
UDS
47%
26%
28%
|
21 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
ANT
2 - 0
VIL
80%
14%
6%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Real Jaén
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 1986 |
RJA
0 - 0
EST
89%
9%
3%
|
41 | 22 | 19 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1986 |
ZUB
4 - 2
RJA
16%
24%
60%
|
43 | 21 | 22 | -2 |
| 12 Oct. 1986 |
RJA
1 - 2
BEN
92%
7%
1%
|
44 | 18 | 26 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 1986 |
UBE
2 - 1
RJA
12%
23%
64%
|
45 | 19 | 26 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1986 |
RJA
2 - 0
BAZ
88%
9%
3%
|
45 | 26 | 19 | 0 |