Villanua vs Ayerbe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.7%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.7%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
45.7%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
4.6%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.7%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villanua
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AIN
4 - 0
VIL
88%
8%
4%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 1
POS
23%
20%
58%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AAR
3 - 1
VIL
48%
21%
31%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | -2 |
| 26 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
0 - 2
LAF
20%
20%
61%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
VIL
5 - 2
SOD
31%
22%
47%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Ayerbe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2017 |
AYE
3 - 1
SOD
42%
22%
36%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2017 |
TEM
1 - 1
AYE
55%
20%
25%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2017 |
AYE
1 - 2
LAF
17%
19%
64%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | -1 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
ALM
2 - 3
AYE
52%
21%
27%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | +1 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
BOL
1 - 1
AYE
77%
14%
10%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | 0 |