Villalbilla vs Orusco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.7%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
3.5%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
17.6%
20.6%
Draw
0-0
1.8%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.6%
40.7%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
18%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
5%
2-4
2.5%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
12.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
6.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+86%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villalbilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
VAL
4 - 1
CFV
86%
9%
5%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
RIV
10 - 2
CFV
67%
17%
17%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2017 |
CFV
1 - 3
TSI
31%
21%
48%
|
7 | 12 | 5 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
JTO
9 - 4
CFV
57%
18%
25%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
CFV
1 - 4
RVM
66%
16%
18%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Orusco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Nov. 2017 |
ORU
5 - 1
CDS
61%
18%
21%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2017 |
VAL
6 - 0
ORU
76%
13%
11%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Nov. 2017 |
ORU
2 - 1
TOL
26%
20%
54%
|
9 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2017 |
ORU
5 - 2
UDP
33%
21%
47%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +2 |
| 22 Oct. 2017 |
RIV
7 - 1
ORU
63%
18%
19%
|
9 | 12 | 3 | -2 |