Villa San Carlos vs Dep. Español analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.9%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
23.2%
16.5%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa San Carlos
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
STM
0 - 1
VSC
39%
29%
32%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
VSC
3 - 0
ATL
22%
27%
51%
|
54 | 68 | 14 | +2 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
BRO
1 - 0
VSC
68%
20%
12%
|
55 | 61 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2011 |
VSC
1 - 2
ALM
40%
27%
33%
|
55 | 57 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ARM
1 - 0
VSC
48%
28%
25%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Dep. Español
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
3 - 1
COM
28%
29%
43%
|
48 | 58 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
CHI
1 - 1
ESP
65%
23%
13%
|
48 | 61 | 13 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 1
EST
24%
28%
48%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
COL
0 - 0
ESP
60%
24%
16%
|
48 | 57 | 9 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
ESP
0 - 3
AND
35%
29%
36%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |