Villa Nova vs URT analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.7%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
31.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
VIL
3 - 1
TUP
27%
25%
48%
|
46 | 57 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2018 |
UBE
2 - 0
VIL
62%
23%
15%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | -1 |
| 25 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
ATM
6%
15%
79%
|
45 | 84 | 39 | +2 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
VIL
0 - 1
BOA
22%
25%
52%
|
46 | 64 | 18 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2018 |
TOM
1 - 0
VIL
67%
21%
12%
|
46 | 56 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
URT
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Feb. 2018 |
URT
0 - 1
ATM
6%
16%
77%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2018 |
URT
1 - 1
PAR
12%
20%
68%
|
51 | 71 | 20 | +1 |
| 29 Jan. 2018 |
DEM
1 - 2
URT
44%
26%
30%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2018 |
PAT
1 - 1
URT
35%
26%
39%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2018 |
URT
1 - 1
AMF
11%
21%
68%
|
50 | 75 | 25 | +1 |