Villa Nova vs Democrata SL analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
24%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.5%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
VIL
1 - 0
DEM
34%
24%
42%
|
39 | 47 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
ULU
0 - 1
VIL
15%
19%
66%
|
39 | 13 | 26 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2020 |
PAL
0 - 1
VIL
27%
25%
48%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 2
BAH
34%
25%
41%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | -2 |
| 13 Nov. 2020 |
GAM
3 - 0
VIL
79%
15%
6%
|
40 | 61 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Democrata SL
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
DEM
1 - 0
FCB
31%
23%
46%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2021 |
BET
2 - 0
DEM
45%
24%
32%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | -1 |
| 31 Oct. 2020 |
DEM
1 - 2
FCB
35%
24%
41%
|
41 | 43 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MAM
2 - 2
DEM
38%
26%
36%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2020 |
DEM
1 - 0
DEM
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |