Villa Nova vs Democrata GV analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.3%
Win probability
1.81
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
26.6%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2012 |
TUP
0 - 0
VIL
61%
21%
18%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
ATM
11%
18%
70%
|
51 | 80 | 29 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
CRZ
2 - 0
VIL
87%
10%
3%
|
51 | 84 | 33 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2012 |
AMF
2 - 1
VIL
80%
13%
6%
|
51 | 72 | 21 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2012 |
VIL
2 - 1
AME
41%
23%
36%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Democrata GV
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Mar. 2012 |
ATM
3 - 0
DEM
87%
10%
3%
|
50 | 80 | 30 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2012 |
DEM
0 - 3
NEC
52%
23%
25%
|
51 | 50 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2012 |
GUA
3 - 1
DEM
37%
24%
39%
|
52 | 48 | 4 | -1 |
| 06 Mar. 2012 |
DEM
1 - 1
CAL
46%
24%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2012 |
DEM
0 - 2
CRZ
11%
20%
69%
|
52 | 84 | 32 | 0 |