Villa Nova vs Atlético Alagoinhas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.9%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
7%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.5%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Nova
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
CAL
1 - 0
VIL
54%
26%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
2 - 2
TFC
56%
22%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
GAM
19%
25%
57%
|
41 | 60 | 19 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
BAH
2 - 0
VIL
62%
22%
16%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
VIL
3 - 1
PAL
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Alagoinhas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2020 |
ALA
3 - 1
BAH
41%
26%
33%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
BRA
1 - 1
ALA
53%
24%
22%
|
49 | 52 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2020 |
ALA
3 - 0
PAL
68%
20%
12%
|
49 | 35 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2020 |
CAL
0 - 3
ALA
40%
27%
33%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2020 |
ALA
0 - 1
GAM
20%
26%
54%
|
49 | 61 | 12 | -1 |