Villa Cubas vs Atlético Policial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.4%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
28.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.8%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Cubas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
1 - 2
SAR
59%
20%
20%
|
33 | 31 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
AND
0 - 0
VIL
38%
24%
38%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
CAG
42%
24%
34%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2016 |
VSR
0 - 0
VIL
52%
23%
25%
|
35 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2016 |
VIL
0 - 1
CDE
82%
11%
6%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Sep. 2016 |
CCU
1 - 0
POL
25%
23%
52%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
POL
3 - 0
INS
71%
17%
13%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2016 |
POL
0 - 1
SAR
63%
20%
18%
|
36 | 31 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2016 |
AND
2 - 3
POL
36%
24%
40%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
POL
0 - 1
CAG
44%
24%
33%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |