Villa Cubas vs Atlético Policial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
19.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.8%
1-0
6.6%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
56.8%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.8%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Villa Cubas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2013 |
SLO
0 - 0
VIL
71%
18%
12%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2013 |
VIL
2 - 2
SAR
61%
20%
19%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
MIT
2 - 0
VIL
78%
15%
8%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético Policial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2013 |
POL
1 - 1
SLO
58%
23%
19%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2013 |
SAR
0 - 1
POL
15%
22%
62%
|
53 | 28 | 25 | +2 |
| 28 Mar. 2012 |
POL
0 - 4
BAR
33%
26%
41%
|
52 | 58 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Dec. 2011 |
POL
4 - 1
INS
8%
17%
75%
|
50 | 76 | 26 | +2 |
| 27 Apr. 2008 |
POL
1 - 1
GYT
50%
24%
26%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -1 |