Viliya vs Smolevichy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.2%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.2%
1-0
3.1%
2-1
2.9%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.1%
15.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
15.9%
74.2%
Win probability
2.46
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
11.9%
1-3
7.6%
2-4
1.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.7%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.4%
0-4
6%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.7%
0-5
2.9%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Viliya
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 3
SMO
8%
17%
75%
|
22 | 53 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Smolevichy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 May. 2021 |
VIL
0 - 3
SMO
8%
17%
75%
|
53 | 22 | 31 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2020 |
SMO
0 - 3
SLA
22%
23%
55%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | -1 |
| 07 Nov. 2020 |
SMO
1 - 4
NEM
20%
25%
55%
|
55 | 72 | 17 | -1 |
| 24 Oct. 2020 |
FKG
4 - 0
SMO
60%
23%
17%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 18 Oct. 2020 |
SMO
1 - 4
TOR
17%
22%
61%
|
57 | 75 | 18 | -1 |